Alex Starovoitov
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Best capper on equal line
Winner of the first tournament AceFour Challenge
Average coefficient = 1,85
Strong sides for Alex - versatility and big plays.
"In their projections, I involve several types of sport that allows me to "keep the balance." If one sport coming recession, I can safely switch to another form. I play the "equal lines", it means that I normally use rates from 1,7 to 2,05. I think this game the most profitable, as it allows not "tied to the bank" and play more freely. "
Past pick from Alex Starovoitov.
American football
Week 2
20/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Green Bay - Cincinnati Q2 (9.5) (9.5 Handicap Cincinnati).
Result: 24-31.
After reviewing the first matches of Green Bay and Cinci, I presume that does not get at the GB make the Tigers, Green Bay was reconstructed on the game 3-4 in the system of protection, but in most of these 3 will be "run" RB "Bengals" - Cedric Benson, plus, in addition, in Cincinnati is Chad "Oshocinco", which is still good and it is in my opinion one of the best host of the League of the components of the hand-speed 'game against the "Bears" has shown that C. Woodson 'a (CB "Packers") can "blow up". It is also possible that the 2 nd host team L. Coles "wake up" and if he can show his usual good game, then Cincinnati already 2 weapons in the attack, + slot receiver A. Caldwell. The defense of Cincinnati in my opinion, one of the most dynamic and young (second - it's not my opinion.), CB "Bengals" stronger than that of "Bears", where Green Bay outplayed in the match 1-second week, so "butchers" will be difficult to make Cincinnati a landslide.
20/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Atlanta - Carolina > 17,5 (ind. Total Carolina, more than 17.5).
Result: 20 (28-20).
This is the first bet, which I recommend for this match. With regards to the attack "Carolina", there is a good "Tanker" attack, possibly one of the best in the league, and Williams and Stewart are able to gain yards, with regard to Paz, the main difference here from the game against the "Philly" is that a "Falcons on positions CB play B. Williams and C. Houston, for "eagles" in these positions - A. Samuel and S. Brown, and it is said you know where - two "big difference".
21/09. 00-05. American Football. NFL. San Francisco - Seattle one. 1 <20,5 (ind. Total San Francisco is less than 20.5).
Result: 23 (23-10).
On the one hand, quotes bookmakers in this match is understandable, given that SF defeated last week finalist last season - Arizona Cardinals, on the other hand, for me personally, this was not a big surprise, as I wrote last week as for the victory of "Frisco" had been established against the "Cards". As for their game in attack, they have big problems with distant pasami, to the near distance Shaun Hill throwing well, but the fact that it went against the "Arizona" does not mean that it will once again against Seattle. The line of attack in Seattle, I think, at least not weaker than the "Arizona", respectively, to pressure Hill'a will be no less so as "Seahawks" play defense 4-3, to stop the removal of the center (the main "weapon" 49 -- x ") they will be easier than the" Cards ", are long-passing game, but the problem here, Isaac Bruse no longer can perform those things which he did earlier on an ongoing basis, namely, catching the ball at long routes, in addition to secondary "Seahawks", a young CB Josh Wilson, who plays bad, but last season he was one of the few "bright spots" in Seattle, in the LB line is young and "motor" Aaron Curry, D-Line is also young and has some pass - rusher'ov "to substitute. As for the attack in Seattle, there is "managed" by the attack after returning injured Matt Hasselbeck, who can play in attack "Seahawks" was successful, in the presence of "target" for Paz, those targets are now in Seattle, the first and second stage - this young and very fast TE John Carlson, who in my humble opinion at least one of the 3-best TE in the league, "second line" - is possesion receiver T. J. Housh ... , And finally the 3rd goal, and in some cases, and 1-I - a veteran Nate Burleson, who despite injuries and age are still good when he was on the field.
20/09. 00-15. American Football. NFL. Denver - Cleveland w1 (Denver win).
Result: 27-6.
Unfortunately, "Cleveland" this year is simply no "purpose" in an attack in sufficient quantities, you can also say that their defense suffered "adjustment", or rather even say it's still going through, and what is most surprising in this restructuring, that, somehow rebuild it with the "old" players in it (the protection of "Browns") a lot of veterans who are no longer those of high-speed qualities that are needed for the game in the NFL. As for "Broncos", then I think the team is enough balance, with respect to its balance sheet last year, has solid Tanker and passes the attack, 2 "front" line of young, secondary is experienced enough, against the "Browns" this should be sufficient. You can even put on the "Broncos" with Handicap -3.
For lovers of big factors, I note the following matches.
20/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Atlanta - Carolina w2 (Carolina win). Estimated coefficient of r = 2,6.
Result: 28-20.
Do not be surprised if Carolina wins this game, these teams are about equal, and "failure" in the last match of "Panther" against the Philadelphia says more about the power of 2, rather than the weakness of the "Panthers", plus an unfortunate coincidence through circumstances and took place to be.
20/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Kansas - Oakland w2 (Oakland win). Estimated coefficient of r = 2,6.
Result: 10-13.
Oakland actually stronger, not as strange as it sounds, given the past seasons of "Raiders", they can easily "prorashit" protection "Chiefs", this will be enough for victory.
20/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Green Bay - Cincinnati w2 (Cincinnati win). Estimated coefficient of r = 4,98.
Result: 24-31.
If you want risnkut small sum for a big factor, set at Cincinnati. It will be worth the investment if the receivers "Bengals" will be a "show", and "Bengals" a little luck, this victory is very real.
Other matches:
20/09. 00-05. American Football. NFL. Buffalo - Tampa Bay > 42 (total over 42).
Result: 53 (33-20).
20/09. 00-15. American Football. NFL. Chicago - Pittsburgh > 19.5 (ind. Total Pittsburgh more than 19.5).
Result: 14 (17-14).
22/09. 04-30. American Football. NFL. Miami - Indianapolis > 19.5 (ind. Total Miami more than 19.5).
Result: 23 (23-27).
22/09. 04-30. American Football. NFL. Miami - Indianapolis > 42 (total over 42).
Result: 50 (23-27).
At the upcoming match in a series of "Monday Night Football", I advise to play more on the hosts, and the overall Total also think it is forcing. Despite the fact that the game "Dolphin" is difficult to call the game, which leads to a larger totals, however, these commands are not the strongest protection, and is difficult to identify even a sort of one line in the protection of one or the other team. Perhaps "Dolphins" a bit stronger line LB, a "Colts" as the main danger are DE (Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis), but the "Fins" on the position of LT plays Jake Long, which I think can stop D. Freeney, with regard to strength LB "Dolphins", a take-away "stallions" will be able to play as laynbekery - this is the 2nd line, after 1-th line break J. Addai and other runner I think it would be possible, and as for Paz, then the "Colts" is P. Manning and well accepted, even without the A. Gonzalez'a a Manning'a remain objective, not so much, x-factor'om here may be the "receiving" TE Dallas Clark, to the same "hold" R. Wayne is not a fact, what happens, even playing a cover 2, given the youth DB "Dolphin" when "Colts" will make its game more remote in this game, then they will have all chances to score enough points with regard to the attack "dolphin" the home, they show quite an interesting and effective game in attack.
Week 3
28/09. 00-05. American Football. NFL. Seattle - Chicago > 17 (ind. Total Seattle more than 17).
Result: 19 (19-25).
If S. Wallace playing, then a Total break through on my thoughts, "easily" if you will Hasselbeck, then veroyatnst pbyut fact that, for me% 60.
27/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Baltimore - Cleveland > 12,5 (ind. Total Cleveland more 12,5).
Result: 3 (34-3).
When I saw this Thoth, the word appeared in my head - a "gift". Predpossylki for the penetration of such тотала a "brown" is, 1. That's what Brady Quinn "start" the first time, and gradually to sygryvatsya with his team. 2. Braylon Edwards is still in Cleveland. 3. Why say M. Massaquoi is not a good match for beginners "anything can happen." Protection of "Browns" is bad, but one interception (a stray, random) or just the interception) can always happen, and Total nebolshoy.27/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. N.Y. Jets - Tennessee that. 17 (инд. тотал Теннеси больше 17)." onmouseout="this.style.backgroundColor='#fff'"2> 17 (ind. Total Tennessee more than 17).
Frankly speaking, choosing between a handicap to the "Titans" +1, and this rate was not an easy choice), but maybe the guys will remember 1 st week, which I think they played very good, solid game with Kerry Collins'a, as well as if in fact 3-x is not the worst host and LenDale White'a (in this match, accentuate the attention "is on it), 2 TD + 1 or 2 FG can be" done. "unit number 2.
27/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Detroit - Washington > 22,5 (ind. Total Washington more than 22.5).
Result: 14 (19-14).
Despite reading forecasts in neodnorazovom "number that the Lions will win this match, I believe in their success, especially in the game to protect it is very difficult," pressure "on Campbell'a, compared to past matches will likely lower, at the start will laynbeker-intermediate D. Levy, a secondary "Lions" reserves "bright" impression L. Delmas, only the first of his hits, he plays a cover yet "fully" is not yet clear. Receivers with "skins" is, perhaps, begin to catch. C. Cooley, F. Davis, S. Moss, M. Kelly, A. Randle El, C. Portis, 23 points I think are possible.
27/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Cincinnati - Pittsburgh > 16,5 (ind. Total Cincinnati more than 16.5).
Result: 23 (23-20).
I think that this Total Tigers will be able to break through, believe that Marvin Lewis and co disassemble the game protection "Steelers" and can "Save this" or "halls" 2-3 TD, at least 2 TD and FG. "Outsider" peak:
27/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Tampa Bay - N.Y. Giants n1 (Victory Tampa Bay). Estimated coefficient of r = 4,2.
Result: 0-24.
Put this bet, if you do not feel sorry for the money, as the great superiority in Tampa will not be here if you win, then quite a bit, but nonetheless, I think that this sensation is possible.
"In the brain," you can put on San Francisco, "there" predpossylok much more.
27/09. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Tampa Bay - N.Y. Giants that. 2 <26 (ind. Total N. Y. Giants less than 26).
Result: 24 (0-24).
Week 4
04.10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Washington - Tampa Bay Q2 (+7) (Handicap Tampa plus 7).
Result: 16-13.
I do not know or understand the weaker the "Tampa Bay", except that Josh Johnson would be very bad (at PACE), on the other hand shall stretch-away may be because the team equal (IMHO), the main thing to have "Skins" was "kosyachny" playbook (which is not uncommon in my opinion), maybe he kosyachen for J. Campbell'a, but he was "in charge."
04.10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. New England - Baltimore > 23 (ind. Total New England more than 23).
Result: 27 (27-21).
Do not check the weather, but if there is no snow, then Tom & Co able to "recruit" the Thoth, I hope that Brady (coach) "Pats" guess to throw long passes, there are "options". Plus, take-away from "Pats" in my opinion not the weakest.
04.10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Cleveland - Cincinnati > 22 (ind. Total Cincinnati more than 22).
Result: 23 (20-23).
Total bit "too high" (for me), but for some reason is seen 24 points, I think the attack "Bengals", has already proven its viability to a greater extent, even with the theoretically "raspiz .. Koi" game with them (the team) Total of such strikes, if the same spirit will be with the order, there is seen "a lot of points" from the "tigers".
04.10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Indianapolis - Seattle one. 1 <27,5 (ind. Total Indianapolis is less than 27.5).
Result: 34 (34-17).
Well, I do not know, IMHO - the protection of " 'hawks" are not the weakest in the league, 27,5 a lot, even for Peyton'a, last week was Arizona.
04.10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Indianapolis - Seattle > 16,5 (ind. Total Seattle more 16,5).
Result: 17 (34-17).
This rate also like, because "Seattle" many "goals" in the attack.
Week 5
11/10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Baltimore - Cincinnati that. 1 <26 (ind. Total Baltimore less than 26).
Result: 14 (14-17).
Joe Flacco certainly "impressive", but here a couple of reasons for me, firstly, to some extent this is a bet "on the contrary, I think that Tsintsi may well break its Thoth, but even if you suddenly Carson'a will be" there " throughout the game, it sometimes passes will still take place, Chad and Laveranues against F. Washington'a and D. Foxworth'a - a superiority in the 1st. Most of all, I am worried H. Ngata. Secondly, Leon Hall and JoJo, that they (and there are many) will make a D. Mason'u and Clayton'a. It is unlikely that much. LB and DL in "Bengals" is quite acceptable to close the center (TE and Scrin). Removal is also close. I think, "Cincinnati" a good chance in this game, and why "Ravens" do not continue the "loss streak".
I assume this game "punt - punt".
11/10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Carolina - Washington > 16,5 (ind. Total Washington more than 16.5).
Result: 17 (20-17).
Not the first time I predict ind. Total " 'skins" more, about the same "range" and does not always held. However, for receivers " 'skins" that match should be "expanse, I think sekonderi a" Panther "- one of the weakest in the league, Santana, El Randle able to" run ", and strangely, J. Campbell knows how to throw long balls and perhaps "young guns" (Thomas, Kelly) is also something to catch, Chris Cooley is, its value in this game falls a little, Beason, and T. Davis may intercept or at least cover Cooley in general, but some progress, he will "give" "redskins."
With regard to the "Panthers", it probably is a good and perhaps last chance "to return to the season, will play an" open "in my opinion. But there is one thing that disturbs me, Uncle Jake could help "red" and ... However, it is 50/50.
11/10. 21-00. American Football. NFL. Philadelphia - Tampa Bay > 13 (ind. Total Tampa more than 13).
Result: 14 (33-14).
Just 14 points for me here "seen. 2 TD or 14 points for the "Tampa" in principle, in my opinion - not critical mark. Veterans of course "honor", but it is difficult to imagine how successfully J. Trotter will stop Caddilac'a or even more to cover Winslow.
By the way, why Tampa was suddenly at the bookmakers as "weaker", do they greatly weaken the presence of J. Johnson'a and the absence of B. Leftwich'a, it seems unlikely. Razche that speed was more.
11/10. 00-05. American Football. NFL. San Francisco - Atlanta > 19, +(2.5) (2.5 Handicap Atlanta).
Result: 10-45.
I believe that "Matty Ice" is rehabilitated, is T. Gonzalez (if "cleave" P. Willis), is R. White, M. Jenkins also able to catch the bottom with M. Turner'om not the dead. About F. Gore'a all know, and that G. Coffee or M. Robinson can also be - in this has not yet believe on the 1 st and 2 nd on - speed is different.
18/10. 04-20. American Football. NFL. Atlanta - Chicago one. 1 <24,5 (ind. Total of Atlanta is less than 24.5).
Result: 21 (21-17).